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EVIDENCE · READ_ONLY · NO_METHOD

Technical evidence

Results and validation. Not the recipe.

Effect sizes, splits, and null checks we can stand behind. Higher % improvements exist in strict windows—they are labeled with dates below, not on the home spec.

Public eval toolkit on GitHub ↗ — holdout split rules, manifest validators, and public comparator scoring. Transformation engine not included.

PINNED_RUN · STRICT_HOLDOUTDOY 2024-250 → 2024-279 · IGS
Train policyFit on earlier 2024 only; no refit on this 30-day window
RMS (uncorrected)115.6 ns
RMS (corrected)22.1 ns
Δ RMS80.8% — strict-window run; cite with window or don't cite
TYPICAL_HOLDOUTMULTI_DAY · IGS_CLASS
RMS_BEFORElow 30s ns
RMS_AFTER17–22 ns
DELTA_TYPICAL~45%
REPLICATION · AC_PRODUCTS
IGSholdout wins
CODEreplicated
ESAreplicated
YEARS2023–2025
INDEP_LABpending pilot
NULL_BATTERYif it's real, wrong sign should hurt
CheckOutcome
Holdout / forward-onlyPASS · no test peeking
Wrong-sign correctionPASS · residual worsens
Baseline shufflePASS · no stable fake slope
Day-shufflePASS · survives lucky split

Scope limit (we mean it): No claim that remainder = 0, universal applicability, or independent lab confirmation yet. Three ACs = replication on published analysis-center products, not “NMIs endorse Banlys.” Patent pending · provisional filed Feb 2026.

Technical note (full)

Summary

We report empirical outcomes from a proprietary transformation applied to long-baseline GNSS clock comparison in published holdout runs on IGS-class panels: typical RMS reduction around ~45%, strict-window examples up to ~81%, post-process residuals commonly in the 17–22 ns range. Similar movement has been observed across three analysis centers (IGS, CODE, ESA) and multiple years (2023–2025) in those published configurations—not as a guarantee that every window or every participant dataset will match.

This document does not disclose the form, parameters, or implementation of the transformation. It describes only the results and the validation protocol, suitable for blind pilot verification by an independent lab.

Published runs vs pilot: Everything here is from fixed, public IGS-class panels. A pilot engagement applies the same evaluation frame to your agreed inputs under confidentiality. These exhibits show what we observed on the published panels; they are representative of the protocol and domain—not a promise that your panel will match the same magnitude.

Evaluation frame (definitions only)

These definitions specify what is being measured and compared. They do not describe how the transformation is computed.

  • What is transformed: an agreed primary comparison or residual series from your submission—we return post-processed outputs and statistics; we do not disclose internal processing.
  • Comparator: before = same stream and metric (typically RMS) before our post-process; after = identical metric on what we return.
  • Improvement: percent reduction in that statistic; where we cite holdout, no recalibration on the evaluation window.

1. Domain and data

  • Domain: Long-baseline GNSS clock comparison (final clock products).
  • Data: Multi-baseline, multi-day comparison means (2023–2025).
  • Scope: In published runs, effect observed across multiple analysis centers; not one AC only; not identical window-to-window.

2. Main result

Typical held-out RMS reduction ~45% in published panels; strict-window examples up to ~81%; post-process residuals commonly 17–22 ns in those runs.

30-day technical audit (IGS Final, strict holdout)

Single 30-day test window. Transformation calibrated on earlier 2024 data only; applied without recalibration on this window.

MetricUncorrectedCorrectedImprovement
Test window2024-250 to 2024-2792024-250 to 2024-279
RMS residual115.6 ns22.1 ns80.8% (strict-window)

Audit note: No recalibration on the 30-day window. Patent pending (priority Feb 2026).

Note: No claim that remainder = 0 or universal applicability. Only observed effect sizes in tested configurations.

3. Validation protocol

CheckDescriptionOutcome
HoldoutFitted on train; applied on independent test days.Typical ~45% RMS reduction on test in published panels.
Forward-onlyTrain on earlier days; test on later.No future-data leakage.
Multiple years2023–2025.Comparable improvement.
RobustnessAlternative splits; withheld baselines.Not driven by one subset.

Demonstration: schematic before/after (illustrative, no method).

4. What is not disclosed

  • Functional form, parameters, implementation, or reverse-engineering path.

5. Pilot evaluation

Results-only evaluation on your data under agreement. Apply · Pilot overview · TareProgram@Banlys.com